| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.6959 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will hit the price target $37.6959 within a defined 15-minute observation window. It matters because short-duration targets test minute-level liquidity, volatility, and the influence of rapid news or algorithmic trading on price formation.
Short-window, single-price-target markets like this focus attention on ultra-short-term market microstructure rather than long-term fundamentals. Outcomes are sensitive to where liquidity sits on order books, the timing of trades across exchanges, and any discrete announcements or social-media-driven flows that can produce short spikes. Because this market has a single outcome and closes are TBD, resolution details and the official price feed will determine how momentary trades are judged.
Market odds are a market-implied consensus about the likelihood of the target condition being met; they reflect participants’ aggregate expectations, liquidity, and risk appetite at a point in time rather than fixed truth. Use them to gauge market sentiment and how sharply participants price minute-level moves, but always consult the event’s official resolution rules for the definitive settlement mechanism.
It indicates the contract tests whether the asset HYPE reaches the price $37.6959 within a 15-minute observation period; the definitive definition of what 'reaches' means (last trade, bid/ask midpoint, auction price) will be in the market’s official resolution rules.
The event page lists the close as TBD; the start and end timestamps for the 15-minute window will be specified on the market description or in settlement documentation—check the KALSHI contract page for the exact timing once posted.
That depends on the market’s settlement specification; some contracts use a single named exchange, others an aggregated feed or index. Always consult the market’s official resolution data source to know which venue(s) count.
Large market orders, targeted buys/sells by liquidity providers or whales, algorithmic spike strategies, or thin-book fills on a specific exchange can produce minute-scale price moves that change whether the target is met.
Review minute-by-minute historical price and volume on the exchange(s) likely to be used, examine past instances of similar price targets, check volatility and order-book depth snapshots, and monitor recent news or on-chain activity that correlates with rapid moves.