| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.6813 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the HYPE token (or instrument labeled HYPE) will reach a price target of $37.6813 within a 15-minute window; it's aimed at capturing short-term price moves that matter to traders and liquidity providers.
Short-duration target markets like this are designed around intraday volatility and can be sensitive to minute-by-minute order flow, news, and venue-specific liquidity. HYPE's past intraday behavior, recent listings or pairs, and broader crypto market conditions provide context for how likely a rapid move is. The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and a closing time listed as TBD, so resolution mechanics and data sources on the event page are the authoritative reference.
Prediction market prices reflect how traders collectively value the chance that the event will occur and update as new information or trades arrive; use them as a real-time consensus signal rather than a guarantee of outcome.
A successful resolution depends on the market's settlement rule: typically the event is resolved if the official settlement price reported by the specified data source reaches or exceeds $37.6813 at any point within the defined 15-minute window. Consult the event's terms on the KALSHI page for the precise settlement condition and price convention.
When times are listed as TBD the platform has not published the official window yet; the market will display definitive open/close timestamps once set. Resolution occurs after the stated 15-minute observation window ends, according to the platform's published schedule and rules.
The event's description on KALSHI specifies the authoritative exchange or price feed for settlement; always check that field because different markets use different reference venues or oracles and the designated source governs the official settlement price.
Active buying or selling can push the traded price toward or away from the target—large market orders, concentrated activity, or aggressive algorithmic strategies can create rapid moves, while thin liquidity increases slippage and the effect of single trades.
To assess precedent, review minute-level historical price charts for HYPE, focusing on prior instances where similar absolute or percentage moves occurred within 15-minute spans, and note what news or on-chain events coincided with those moves; the event page or data providers can help locate relevant history.