| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.6686 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the asset labeled "HYPE" will hit the price target of $37.6686 within a specific 15-minute observation window. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they focus attention on immediate liquidity, order flow, and rapid news-driven moves.
Short-term crypto price targets sit at the intersection of high volatility and concentrated trading activity; even small flows or a single large order can change outcomes in a 15‑minute window. The instrument here is a single-outcome market on KALSHI with settlement tied to a brief time interval, so timing, reference price source, and exchange microstructure are particularly important.
Market prices for this event reflect the collective expectation that the settlement criteria will be met during the 15-minute observation window; because traded volume is currently zero, quoted prices (if any) may not reflect robust liquidity and should be treated with caution.
A winning outcome is determined by whether the settlement price, as defined by KALSHI's event rules, meets or exceeds the $37.6686 threshold during the specified 15-minute observation window; consult the event page and KALSHI rulebook for the precise settlement definition and tie-break rules.
The market page should list the exact start/stop timestamps and timezone for the 15-minute window; if the event currently shows "Closes: TBD" you must check the platform for updates because the precise timing determines when price activity matters.
KALSHI typically specifies a reference source or aggregation method on each market’s description; check the market details and official rules to see whether they use a single exchange, an index, or a consolidated feed for settlement.
Zero volume indicates no executed trades yet and therefore limited liquidity and weak price discovery; quoted prices can be thin and more susceptible to large orders or manipulation until trading activity increases.
Watch order books and trade prints on the settlement exchange(s), on-chain transaction activity if HYPE is a token, credible news feeds and social announcements, major exchange status pages, and price aggregates to detect divergence or feed inconsistencies.