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How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during his show?

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All Outcomes (15)
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About This Market

This market asks how many times Lawrence O'Donnell will say the word "Trump" during a single episode of his show. It matters as a simple, measurable way to track how prominently a major news figure figures into a particular broadcast.

Lawrence O'Donnell is a high-profile cable-news host whose monologues and interviews often respond to the day’s major political developments; mentions of Donald Trump have been a recurring element when Trump-related stories are prominent. Single-episode mention counts can swing with the news cycle, guest lineup, and producers’ editorial priorities. This market isolates one episode’s spoken mentions to create a short-window bet on editorial attention.

Market prices reflect the crowd’s aggregated expectation for that episode’s count and update as new information arrives (guest announcements, breaking news, schedule changes). They are indicators of market consensus, not guarantees; final resolution depends on the event’s official counting rules.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which specific broadcast does this market refer to and when does trading close?

The market covers the single episode specified on the event page; trading closes at the time listed there (currently TBD). Check the event page for the exact episode date, start time, and official close time once posted.

Are mentions counted only when Lawrence O'Donnell says the word himself, or do guest comments and on-screen text count too?

This market asks how many times Lawrence O'Donnell says the word, so counts generally include only instances spoken aloud by O'Donnell. Guest speech, chyron text, and promos are typically excluded; consult the event’s resolution rules for any exceptions.

Do different phrases like "President Trump," "Trump's," or part of another word count as separate mentions?

Any time O'Donnell utters the word 'Trump' in speech—whether as part of a longer phrase, possessive form, or title—each spoken occurrence is normally counted as an instance. For edge cases (e.g., clipped speech, overlapping audio), rely on the market’s official counting guidance.

How will disputes about the final mention count be handled?

Resolution follows the platform’s established adjudication process: the event’s stated judge or data source will determine the official count, and any disputes are resolved according to the market’s dispute and arbitration procedures listed on the event page.

What should I monitor before trading on this event?

Watch the announced guest list and segment teasers, monitor breaking news involving Trump ahead of airtime, note any schedule or format announcements (special coverage, extended show), and review the event’s resolution rules so you understand what counts toward the final tally.

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