| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 20 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 25 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the volume of political endorsements issued by Donald Trump via his Truth Social account during the week of April 19-25. It serves as a gauge for his active political influence and strategic communication patterns on his preferred social platform.
Donald Trump frequently uses Truth Social to signal support for candidates, issue statements on primary races, or weigh in on general election dynamics. His endorsement cadence often fluctuates based on the proximity to filing deadlines, primary dates, or emerging news cycles. Monitoring these posts provides insight into his current focus areas within the Republican party hierarchy.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of users regarding Trump's social media activity; higher prices for specific outcome ranges indicate a greater expectation of frequent endorsement activity.
An endorsement is counted when Trump explicitly expresses support for a candidate or organization on his Truth Social account.
Generally, only original posts explicitly authored by Trump that convey a formal endorsement are tallied for this specific market outcome.
No, this market is strictly limited to activity occurring on the Truth Social platform during the specified dates.
The outcome corresponding to zero endorsements would be the successful resolution in that scenario.
The market captures all qualifying posts made between the start of April 19 and the conclusion of April 25, based on Eastern Time.