| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 20 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the volume of political endorsements issued by Donald Trump via his Truth Social account between April 12 and April 18. It serves as a gauge for the former president's active involvement in candidate selection and his influence over party messaging during the specified timeframe.
Donald Trump utilizes Truth Social as his primary vehicle for issuing official endorsements, ranging from local legislative races to high-profile congressional contests. The frequency of these posts often fluctuates based on primary election cycles, upcoming filing deadlines, and his personal assessment of candidate loyalty. Monitoring these endorsements provides insight into which political factions currently hold favor within his base.
The market prices reflect collective expectations regarding the intensity of Trump's digital political activity over the one-week period. Participants weigh current primary schedules and historical endorsement patterns to determine the likely count of endorsements.
Only direct, original endorsements explicitly declaring support for a candidate count toward the total.
The market resolution typically relies on whether the endorsement was public and documented during the specified timeframe.
No, this market specifically focuses on endorsements of individual people running for political office.
Yes, endorsements must be timestamped by Truth Social within the 4/12 to 4/18 window to be considered.
Increased activity is common leading up to major state primary dates, as the former president aims to influence results while voters are actively engaging with their ballots.