| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Above 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many executive orders Donald Trump will sign during the week of March 22–28. It matters because executive orders are unilateral presidential actions that can change policy quickly, and traders use expectations about those actions to price outcomes.
Executive orders are written directives issued by the President that manage operations of the federal government; they are typically published by the White House and the Federal Register. The weekly number can vary widely depending on agenda items, legal review, travel and public events, and responses to emergent situations. Past presidents have shown different patterns of use, and any given week reflects both planned initiatives and reactive measures.
Market odds aggregate participants’ expectations about the likely count of signed executive orders in the specified week and change when new information (schedules, announcements, legal developments) arrives. Odds are not guarantees; they reflect collective judgment at a moment in time and update as events unfold.
Typically, this market counts documents formally issued as executive orders and posted by the White House or the Federal Register with a signature date falling between March 22 and March 28; check the event’s official resolution rules for any specific inclusions or exclusions.
Only the formal signature/posting date normally determines inclusion; an announcement alone usually does not count if the signature date is outside March 22–28, per the event’s resolution criteria.
Resolution typically distinguishes executive orders from other instruments; memoranda or proclamations are often excluded unless the event’s rules explicitly include them, so consult the event page for the precise definition used.
Resolution is generally based on whether an order was formally signed and posted within the date range; subsequent rescission or court action usually does not retroactively change whether an order counted, but confirm with the event’s official adjudication policy.
New or accelerated policy announcements, sudden crises or emergencies, shifts in the White House workflow or legal clearance, and unexpected travel or public engagements can all increase or decrease the number of orders signed between March 22 and March 28.