| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 3 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many Executive Orders President Trump will sign between March 1 and March 7. It matters because the number of signed orders in a given week signals short-term executive activity and administrative priorities.
Executive Orders are formal directives issued by the President to manage operations of the federal government; they are typically published by the White House and filed with the Federal Register. Weekly counts can fluctuate with the administration's policy focus, scheduled events, and responses to emerging crises, so short-window markets capture near-term operational tempo rather than long-term strategy.
Market prices reflect collective, real-time expectations about which outcome will occur during the specified week; they are a snapshot of sentiment that can change with new information. Treat prices as indicators to compare scenarios rather than definitive predictions, and check the exchange for official resolution rules if you need determinative guidance.
The event covers actions dated March 1 through March 7, inclusive; final resolution will use the exchange's official timestamp and dating conventions, so consult the platform for the authoritative time standard.
Resolution typically relies on formal documents labeled and filed as 'Executive Order' by the White House and the Federal Register; informal directives, memoranda, or proclamations generally count only if the exchange explicitly states they qualify, so check the event-specific rules on the platform.
Common verification sources include White House releases, the Federal Register publication, and the official text of presidential documents; the exchange will list which sources it relies on for final determination.
Whether it counts depends on the exchange's official timekeeping and the timestamp associated with the signed document; participants should consult the platform's time zone and resolution policies to know how cross–time-zone signings are handled.
Most exchanges resolve based on whether the order was officially issued and signed within the window regardless of subsequent legal challenges or revocations, unless the event's rules state otherwise—check the event resolution criteria for the definitive rule.