| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| 1 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| 2 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| 3 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks how many Executive Orders the President will sign during the week of February 22–28 and matters because executive orders are a direct, trackable tool of presidential policy-making over a short time window.
Executive Orders (EOs) are formal instruments the President uses to direct executive-branch operations and are typically recorded by the White House and published in the Federal Register. Weekly-count markets like this capture near-term executive activity and can reflect administration priorities, legislative calendar pressures, and unfolding events that prompt unilateral actions. Historical weekly counts vary with news cycles, crises, and policy push moments.
Market outcome labels correspond to mutually exclusive counts or ranges of EOs signed during the specified week; the market resolves to whichever outcome matches the official record for that period. Traders should interpret price signals as the market’s aggregation of available information, but consult primary official sources for definitive records.
The market uses orders explicitly issued and labeled as 'Executive Order' by the White House or published as such in the Federal Register; other instruments are excluded unless the issuing authority designates them as an Executive Order.
Resolution will be based on official records (WhiteHouse.gov posts and Federal Register entries) covering the Feb 22–28 period; the market will be settled after the end of that window once the exchange’s designated resolution sources are checked.
Typically the signing date or the official timestamp associated with the Executive Order determines inclusion; if the EO was signed within Feb 22–28 it is generally counted even if publication occurs afterward, subject to the exchange’s resolution rules.
No — only instruments explicitly labeled and issued as 'Executive Orders' count; memoranda, proclamations, and agency directives are separate categories unless the issuing authority specifically classifies them as an EO.
This market presents four mutually exclusive outcomes that partition the possible number of Executive Orders signed during Feb 22–28 into distinct counts or ranges; consult the market page for the exact labels and boundaries of those four outcomes.