| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how long Karoline Leavitt will speak at a specified Press Briefing; traders express expectations about the briefing's length, which can reflect expectations about the scope of the event and how much time will be devoted to particular topics.
Karoline Leavitt is a White House press office official who has led or participated in briefings; the length of any individual briefing depends on the day's news agenda, the administration's communications strategy, and interaction with reporters. Press briefings often vary widely in duration depending on breaking news, scheduled announcements, or the degree of questioning from the press corps.
Market prices represent the market's collective expectation for which duration bucket will occur; they update as new information (schedules, agenda changes, media engagement) becomes available but do not guarantee a specific outcome.
This market uses nine mutually exclusive duration outcomes that cover a range of possible speaking lengths from very short to extended; one of those discrete outcomes will be paid out according to the market's resolution rules after the briefing.
Resolution is based on the official timing method specified by the market: generally the elapsed time during which Leavitt is actively addressing reporters (from the moment she begins speaking to the moment she stops), as determined from publicly available audio/video and the exchange's resolution criteria.
Typically, only the time Leavitt is actively speaking is counted; if she hands off to another speaker the timer for her speaking stops until she resumes. Exact treatment of interruptions or cumulative speaking segments follows the exchange's resolution policy.
Traders can examine previous briefings led by Leavitt or comparable officials to gauge typical formats and variability, but they should also weigh current factors—agenda, announcements, and press interest—that can cause durations to differ from past patterns.
Outcomes in those scenarios are governed by the market's resolution rules: the market may be voided, resolved based on who actually spoke, or otherwise handled per the exchange's stated policy. Check the market's resolution and trading rules for the definitive procedure.