| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $150.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $160.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $170.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $180.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $190.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $200.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $250.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $300.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which discrete price bucket will contain Solana's highest USD price during calendar year 2026; traders buy shares in the bucket they expect will be true. It matters because it aggregates market expectations about SOL's upside over a fixed multi-month horizon and highlights how participants price crypto-specific and macro risks.
Solana (SOL) is a high-throughput smart-contract blockchain that has experienced rapid price swings, periods of strong developer activity, and occasional network disruptions since its launch. By 2026, SOL's peak price will depend on a mix of ecosystem adoption (DeFi, NFTs, and apps), technical upgrades that affect throughput and reliability, macro liquidity conditions, and regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency markets. The Kalshi market uses eight discrete outcomes to partition possible peak prices, letting traders express views on a range of upside scenarios.
Market odds are dynamic, reflecting the collective judgment of participants about which price bucket will end up containing SOL's 2026 peak; they update as new information arrives. Interpret odds as the market's current consensus distribution over outcomes, not as a guaranteed forecast.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined SOL price bucket that would contain the token's highest reported USD spot price during calendar year 2026; consult the event page for the exact numeric breakpoints that define each bucket.
The event's close is listed as TBD; the winning outcome will be settled according to the market's official terms after the 2026 calendar period ends or at the settlement time specified by the contract, so check the event page for the final settlement timing once posted.
The event will use the settlement source and methodology specified in its official rules on the platform; typically that means a named public spot price feed or exchange index and a defined measurement window—verify the event terms to see exactly which source is authoritative.
Key movers include major protocol upgrades or hard forks, large token unlocks or coordinated whale trades, influential exchange listings or delistings, regulatory announcements by major jurisdictions, and macro shocks that alter crypto risk appetite.
Use the discrete buckets to express a view on magnitude and tail risk: pick narrower buckets if you expect a specific target range, or buy extreme buckets if you anticipate a large blowoff; manage position size, monitor liquidity and news that affect SOL, and confirm settlement rules before trading.