| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above $70,000.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Above $72,500.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Above $75,000.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Above $77,500.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $80,000.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $82,500.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $85,000.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $87,500.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to pick which price range will contain Bitcoin's highest traded price during the month of March. It matters because it aggregates diverse views about near-term upside potential and volatility into tradable outcomes.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose month-to-month highs are driven by macro economic news, regulatory announcements, institutional flows, and crypto-native events. Historical March periods have seen wide variation in price behavior, so markets trading this question reflect both short-term event risk and longer-term trend expectations.
Odds in this market summarize how traders collectively price the relative likelihood of each discrete price bucket; they update as new information arrives and as traders adjust positions, and should be read as a snapshot of market consensus rather than a fixed prediction.
The market lists a set of discrete price buckets (outcomes) on its page; each outcome corresponds to a specific range of Bitcoin prices. The market's rules and description identify the exact lower and upper bounds for each bucket—consult the market page for the definitive boundaries.
The market will settle based on price activity that occurs during the March settlement window defined in its rules. Many markets use the calendar month in UTC, but you should check this market's settlement window on the platform to confirm the exact start and end timestamps.
The market's settlement rules specify the authoritative price source or index used to determine the highest traded price; that could be a single exchange ticker, a consolidated index, or a set of exchanges. Verify the listed settlement data source on the market page.
Settlement is normally based on the single highest qualifying price observed within the defined March window according to the market's specified data source. Whichever peak is highest within that window determines which price range pays out—check the rules for any nuances (e.g., consolidated high vs. per-exchange high).
Scheduled macro events (e.g., central bank announcements), known corporate/ETF schedule items, and planned crypto events can materially shift the market as they approach; unanticipated events can cause sudden moves. Traders price in both expected and tail risks, so monitor event calendars and the market's live prices rather than relying solely on historical patterns.