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How high will Bitcoin get in April?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
4
Markets
8

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (8)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Above $70,000.00 0%
$0 Resolved
Above $72,500.00 0%
$0 Resolved
Above $75,000.00 0%
$0 Resolved
Above $77,500.00 0%
$0 Resolved
Above $80,000.00 0%
$0 Trade →
Above $82,500.00 0%
$0 Trade →
Above $85,000.00 0%
$0 Trade →
Above $87,500.00 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market allows participants to predict the maximum price range Bitcoin will reach during the month of April. It serves as a benchmark for market sentiment regarding Bitcoin's volatility and upward momentum within a specific timeframe.

Bitcoin prices are frequently influenced by macroeconomic indicators, institutional adoption rates, and supply-side events like halving cycles. April is historically a significant month for crypto markets, often coinciding with shifts in investor sentiment and capital allocation at the start of the second financial quarter. Market participants closely monitor regulatory updates and liquidity flows to determine whether the asset enters a period of price discovery or consolidation.

The current market prices reflect the collective expectation of traders regarding Bitcoin's peak performance in April, with higher-priced outcome contracts indicating a belief in significant upward volatility.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What defines the 'high' for Bitcoin in this market?

The high is defined as the highest price Bitcoin touches at any point during the month of April, based on the primary index used by the platform.

Does this market account for Bitcoin prices reached in March or May?

No, only price movements occurring between the start of April 1st and the end of April 30th are considered for determining the winning outcome.

How do sudden market crashes or spikes affect the settlement of this market?

The market settles based on the absolute peak price hit during the month, regardless of how brief that price level was maintained or how sharply the price corrected afterward.

Are there specific exchange data sources used to calculate the Bitcoin price for this event?

The settlement is determined by the specific reference index defined in the market rules, which aggregates data from multiple major cryptocurrency exchanges to ensure accurate price discovery.

What happens if Bitcoin remains stable throughout the month?

The market will settle into the outcome range that captures the highest peak price reached, even if that peak occurs during a period of relative stability.

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