| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 295000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 297500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 310000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 312500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 305000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 300000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 307500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 302500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of several specified ranges will contain the Houston metro area 'typical home value' in March 2026; outcomes are useful for hedging or expressing views about local housing conditions that affect homeowners, buyers, and regional economic activity.
Houston's housing market is shaped by local employment (notably the energy sector), population and migration patterns, housing supply and new construction, and sensitivity to interest rates and insurance costs after major weather events. Historical cycles in Houston show that shocks to employment or energy prices, together with changes in mortgage costs and inventory, can move typical home values over quarters and years.
Market prices aggregate traders' collective expectations about which outcome will match the official settlement value in March 2026 and will change as new economic, policy, or weather information arrives. Always read the contract's settlement specification to understand exactly which data source and calculation will determine the winning outcome.
The contract's settlement rules specify the authoritative data source, the exact metric used (for example, a median sale price or a specific house price index), and how the March 2026 value will be measured and rounded. Consult the market description on the exchange for the precise settlement formula and data provider.
The event uses whichever definition and data series are named in the contract (commonly a metro-level median sale price or an index value). Check the event page to see whether the market uses median sale price, an index level, or another specified metric.
Energy-sector hiring, capital spending, and oil-and-gas price swings affect local employment and incomes, which in turn influence demand for housing, price growth, and how long homes stay on the market in the Houston metro.
Many housing indicators are published with a lag and may be revised; the market will settle on the published figure and version specified in the contract. Account for publication schedules and potential revisions when evaluating new information and timing your participation.
The close time is listed as TBD on the event page; the exchange will publish an official closing time and any settlement details before the market closes. Monitor the market page, official announcements from the platform, and the contract terms for updates.