| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official maximum temperature recorded in Washington, D.C., on March 30, 2026. It serves as a localized gauge for short-term meteorological forecasting and climate variability.
Washington, D.C., experiences significant temperature swings during late March as the region transitions from winter to spring. Historical data from the National Weather Service (NWS) indicates that daily highs during this window are heavily influenced by the positioning of the jet stream and the movement of cold or warm fronts across the Mid-Atlantic.
Market participants use these contracts to express views on atmospheric trends, reflecting the collective expectation of meteorologists and climate observers regarding localized weather patterns.
The official measurement is typically derived from data recorded at the Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA) station by the National Weather Service.
The market resolves based on the official daily maximum temperature reading provided by the NWS, regardless of meteorological anomalies.
No, the market is strictly concerned with the official ambient air temperature high, not heat index or wind chill metrics.
Late March is a period of high instability in the region, as competing cold Canadian air and warming southern air masses frequently clash, leading to wider variance in daily highs.
The market closes prior to the date in question and settles shortly after the NWS confirms the official daily high for March 30, 2026.