| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 75° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature bracket will be the highest observed in Washington, DC on March 27, 2026, and matters to traders, forecasters, and anyone tracking short-term weather or climate variability in the region.
Late March is a highly transitional period in the Mid-Atlantic, so day-to-day outcomes can swing between cool, mild, or unseasonably warm depending on frontal passages and sunshine. Forecasts for a specific calendar date like March 27 will draw on global and regional weather models, recent trends, and the official observing station that the market uses to settle outcomes.
Market prices aggregate many participants' expectations about which outcome will occur and will update as new forecasts and observations arrive; read the market's settlement rules to understand exactly how the winning outcome is determined.
Settlement will follow the market's published rules; many weather markets use the National Weather Service (NOAA) official station designated for Washington, DC, but you must check this event's settlement clause to confirm the exact observing site and data source.
The event is tied to a calendar date in the local time zone for the specified observing station; the market's settlement documentation will state whether the window is 00:00–23:59 local time, a UTC-converted interval, or some other defined period—verify the rules for this event.
Each outcome corresponds to a mutually exclusive temperature range or bracket defined by the market maker; consult the event description to see the exact numeric ranges that determine which outcome wins.
Resolution procedures for ties or data gaps are specified in the market's settlement rules and typically reference the primary official dataset, with fallback procedures such as using nearby reliable stations, additional verification from the NWS, or post-event quality-controlled data—check the event's settlement policy for details.
Large-scale model patterns that influence the day typically become clearer a few days to a week ahead, while smaller-scale factors like cloud cover and timing of a front can shift expected highs within 24–72 hours of the date; traders usually watch model runs and official forecasts as the date approaches.