| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest temperature recorded in Washington, D.C. will be on March 13, 2026; it matters for participants tracking short-term weather risk, energy demand, travel planning, and weather-driven economic activity.
March is a transitional month in the mid-Atlantic when temperatures can swing rapidly between unseasonably warm and late-winter cold depending on large-scale weather systems. Longer-term climate trends have increased the frequency of warm extremes over decades, but day-to-day outcomes for a single date remain driven mainly by synoptic weather patterns and local conditions.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which temperature range will be the day’s maximum and will change as forecasts and observations evolve; check the market rules to see exactly how outcomes are defined and settled.
The event page currently shows the close time as TBD; the platform will publish a definitive trading close and any cutoff for trading before settlement. Check the market listing frequently for the announced close time and any updates.
Each outcome represents a mutually exclusive temperature category or range published on the market page; the outcome whose range contains the officially recorded highest temperature for the date will be the winning outcome — refer to the event’s outcome descriptions for exact bins.
Settlement will use the data source and station specified in the market’s settlement rules (platform-listed official source). Typically platforms rely on recognized meteorological observations (for example, National Weather Service/NOAA station data), so review the event’s settlement source, station identifier, and measurement/rounding conventions.
Historical March 13 climatology provides context and a baseline expectation, showing typical variability for the date, but single-day outcomes are heavily influenced by that year’s synoptic setup; use recent forecast model guidance and trend information together with climatology when forming a view.
Disputes or delays can arise from missing or inconsistent station data, instrument malfunctions, ambiguous station selection, or discrepancies between data providers; resolution follows the platform’s dispute and arbitration procedures as defined in the event rules.