| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Washington, D.C., on April 7, 2026. These data points provide a quantifiable look at localized seasonal climate variations as observed by official meteorological stations.
Washington, D.C. experiences significant temperature volatility in early April as the region transitions from late winter to spring. Historically, daily highs can vary widely based on the arrival of polar air masses or unseasonably warm southern air flows. The official measurement is typically sourced from the National Weather Service station located at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of participants regarding the most likely temperature range for that specific day, reflecting historical averages and long-range meteorological forecasts.
The market typically relies on the official data recorded at the National Weather Service station at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA).
It is the peak temperature reached between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM local time on April 7, 2026, as reported by the designated official weather agency.
Market participants often use historical climate normals to establish a baseline, adjusting their expectations based on current year-to-date weather anomalies.
Yes, sudden shifts such as late-season cold fronts or unseasonably hot air masses can significantly shift the observed maximum temperature away from the long-term average.
The market resolution will rely on the validated data provided by the official meteorological authority once quality control measures are complete.