| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° to 81° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Washington, D.C., on April 3, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional climate trends and are officially recognized by the National Weather Service.
April in Washington, D.C., is a period of significant atmospheric transition as the region moves from late winter to early spring. Historical weather data for early April shows high variability, often influenced by shifting jet stream patterns and the onset of the cherry blossom season. The measurement is determined by the official temperature recorded at the Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport weather station.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather patterns, where lower or higher ranges indicate consensus on the likelihood of cooler or warmer spring conditions.
The data is derived from the official readings recorded at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA), which serves as the primary meteorological station for Washington, D.C.
The market resolves based on the official high temperature recorded at the official station, regardless of whether the temperature is considered record-breaking or anomalous.
April 3rd falls during early spring, meaning the range of possibilities is influenced by the 'shoulder season' volatility, where temperatures can swing significantly depending on whether the day is dominated by polar or tropical air masses.
The daily high temperature is calculated based on the maximum reading reached during the 24-hour period of the calendar day, typically occurring in the afternoon.
Official daily weather reports for the Washington, D.C. area can be monitored through the National Weather Service (NWS) Baltimore/Washington forecast office website.