| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° to 62° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Washington, D.C., on April 21, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for regional climate variability and localized weather forecasting.
April in Washington, D.C., is a transitional period characterized by increasing solar radiation and the onset of spring. Historically, daily highs during late April fluctuate significantly based on transient cold fronts or warm air masses originating from the Gulf of Mexico. These variables make the date a compelling case study for short-term meteorological volatility.
Market prices represent the collective expectation for temperature ranges, reflecting how traders weigh current climate trends and seasonal patterns against historical meteorological data.
The official reading is typically derived from the National Weather Service station located at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA).
April in D.C. is notoriously unpredictable; temperatures can vary by 20 degrees or more depending on whether the region is under the influence of a maritime or continental air mass.
No, this market relies specifically on the official station record at Reagan National, ensuring a singular, standardized data point for settlement.
The market settles based on the official recorded high temperature from the authorized weather station, regardless of whether the weather is considered extreme or normal.
While climate models provide seasonal outlooks, reliable high-temperature forecasts generally improve within a 7-to-10-day window as specific pressure systems become visible on meteorological models.