| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Seattle, Washington, on March 30, 2026. It serves as a derivative instrument for meteorological data, allowing participants to hedge against or speculate on early-spring climate anomalies.
Seattle experiences highly variable weather in late March as the region transitions from winter to spring. Historically, temperatures during this period are influenced by Pacific maritime air masses, which can result in rapid shifts between mild, sunny days and cool, rainy conditions. Understanding these seasonal trends is essential for analyzing volatility in local temperature outcomes.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the official daily high will land across predefined temperature ranges. Traders incorporate long-range climate models and historical meteorological averages to determine the most likely outcome.
The official reading is based on the data reported by the National Weather Service for the designated Seattle-Tacoma International Airport station.
The market resolves based on the finalized, official data provided by the National Weather Service, regardless of how anomalous the recorded temperature is.
This market specifically tracks the daily peak temperature (the highest value reached during the 24-hour period), not the average or the low.
Yes, historical records are maintained by the National Weather Service and can be viewed via their online climate databases to establish a baseline of typical temperature ranges.
The market will resolve shortly after the official daily high temperature is verified and published by the reporting authority for the date of March 30, 2026.