| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature will be recorded as the highest in Seattle on March 16, 2026. It matters for traders and observers as a short-term indicator of local weather extremes and for hedging or speculating on near-term temperature outcomes.
Seattle in mid-March sits in a transitional season with frequent variability driven by Pacific storm systems, occasional warm Pacific air intrusions, and persistent marine influence that moderates extremes. Interannual factors such as large-scale circulation patterns (e.g., the position of the Aleutian low or ridging over the eastern Pacific) and longer-term climate trends can shift the odds of unusually warm or cool days.
Market prices reflect the aggregated views of participants based on forecasts, observations, and new information; they update continuously as forecasts and surface observations change. Use them as a live signal of collective expectation, not as a guaranteed outcome.
The standard interpretation is the local civil date for Seattle (00:00 to 23:59 local time on March 16, 2026); because Seattle observes Pacific Daylight Time in mid-March, that local clock applies. Confirm the market's official resolution rules on the event page for final cutoff definitions.
The market will resolve to the official data source and station(s) specified in its resolution rules (for example, a designated National Weather Service station or consolidated official dataset). Check the event's resolution description on the platform to see which station ID or dataset is authoritative.
Tie-breaking procedures are set by the market operator in the event's resolution rules — common approaches include using the highest reported value with greater precision, deferring to a primary designated station, or applying a defined chronological rule. Refer to the event's official resolution methodology for the exact procedure.
Rounding convention (e.g., nearest whole degree or nearest tenth) depends on the specified data source and the market's resolution policy. The event page or rule text will state the precision used to report and settle the outcome.
The market's close time is set by the platform and may be before the observation day begins; the official outcome is posted after the designated data provider releases and the operator verifies the observation. Because this event lists the close as TBD, check the market page regularly for the announced closing and resolution schedule.