| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 7, 2026. It serves as a tool for participants to hedge against or speculate on localized climate fluctuations in the Pacific Northwest.
April in Seattle is characterized by a transition from winter to spring, often featuring highly variable conditions due to Pacific storm fronts. Historical climate data for early April suggests a wide range of possible daily highs, reflecting the region's sensitivity to shifting atmospheric pressure systems and marine layer patterns. These variables make forecasting specific temperature bands a complex challenge for meteorologists and market participants alike.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of each temperature range, updated continuously as new meteorological forecasts and long-range climate trends emerge.
The market relies exclusively on the official temperature data recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SEA) observation site.
The market utilizes official data from the National Weather Service; if standard reporting is unavailable, the market will reference official climate archives for the specified date.
The market specifically tracks the daily maximum temperature, which is the single highest temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026.
The market outcomes are calibrated to degrees Fahrenheit, consistent with standard National Weather Service reporting for the region.
No, the high temperature is the absolute maximum reading observed at any point during the 24-hour UTC calendar day as officially reported.