| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Seattle, Washington, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for local climate variability and regional weather forecasting accuracy.
April in the Pacific Northwest is a transitional period, frequently characterized by alternating patterns of spring sunshine and lingering cool, damp air from the Pacific. Historical data for this date reflects significant volatility, as Seattle’s climate is heavily influenced by the Puget Sound and proximity to mountain ranges. Participants should consider long-range climate trends and the potential for anomalous weather systems when evaluating potential outcomes.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the most likely temperature range, reflecting both seasonal averages and emerging meteorological data.
The market typically relies on the official climate data recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) station, as managed by the National Weather Service.
The highest temperature is defined as the maximum ambient air temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026, measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
Yes; the market settles based on the actual recorded temperature, regardless of whether the weather was accurately predicted by mainstream meteorological forecasts.
Settlement is determined by the specific official reporting station identified in the market rules, typically the primary airport sensor for the Seattle region.
No; the market tracks the raw, recorded ambient air temperature rather than 'feels-like' metrics that account for humidity or wind speed.