| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Seattle, Washington, on April 3, 2026. It serves as a data-driven gauge for atmospheric expectations during the transition from early spring.
Seattle's April weather is historically characterized by significant variability, often influenced by the transition between cool, wet marine air and warming inland patterns. Meteorological records for early April in the Pacific Northwest frequently show temperatures fluctuating based on the presence of high-pressure ridges or passing cold fronts. These historical patterns provide the baseline for climatological modeling used to estimate temperature ranges.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of meteorological conditions, with higher contract prices indicating a greater consensus that the temperature will fall within a specific range.
The official daily high temperature as recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SEA) reporting station.
The outcome is determined by the specific tiering rules outlined in the contract specifications, which typically define inclusive or exclusive boundary thresholds.
Unpredicted atmospheric blocking patterns or extreme temperature anomalies can cause significant shifts in the market as new meteorological data becomes available.
Yes, the market specifically tracks the maximum temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar period of April 3, 2026.
Early April is a transitional period in the Pacific Northwest where the region can experience rapid shifts between residual winter storms and early spring sunshine.