| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 2, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional spring climate patterns and localized meteorological volatility.
April in the Pacific Northwest is defined by a transition from winter moisture to milder spring conditions, often characterized by high variability due to North Pacific jet stream patterns. Historical weather data for Seattle in early April shows a broad range of potential temperatures, sensitive to shifts between high-pressure ridges and cool marine air masses. Predicting specific temperature thresholds requires analyzing long-range climate models and historical climatology for the Puget Sound region.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the likelihood of the daily high falling into specific temperature brackets, incorporating both climatological norms and long-range forecasts.
The data is derived from official National Weather Service reports logged at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) weather station.
Seattle's spring climate is notoriously volatile; a single weather front can swing daily highs by 10-15 degrees Fahrenheit, making short-term forecasting difficult even as the date approaches.
In the event of equipment failure or missing official readings, the market will rely on secondary verified reports from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
No, the market strictly considers the recorded ambient air temperature, excluding factors like wind chill or humidity-based heat indices.
The market settles based on the actual recorded peak temperature regardless of whether it sets a new historical record for that specific date.