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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Seattle on Apr 19, 2026?

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Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
68° or below 0%
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69° to 70° 0%
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71° to 72° 0%
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73° to 74° 0%
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75° to 76° 0%
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77° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Seattle, Washington, on April 19, 2026. Predicting specific meteorological events months in advance serves as a benchmark for climate variability and regional weather forecasting.

Seattle's spring weather is historically characterized by significant fluctuations due to the region's marine climate and influence from the Pacific Ocean. April represents a transition month where temperatures can swing based on high-pressure ridges or incoming storm systems. Meteorological data from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport serves as the official point of reference for this market.

Market participants aggregate available meteorological forecasts, historical climate trends, and seasonal outlooks to determine the most likely temperature range for this specific date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What data source determines the official high temperature for this market?

The market relies on the official daily high temperature readings recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport weather station.

How does the spring season typically influence temperature volatility in Seattle?

April in Seattle is a transition period where the region can experience both late-winter cold snaps and early-spring warm spells, resulting in a wide historical range of daily highs.

What happens if there are extreme weather events on April 19, 2026?

The market result is determined strictly by the official recorded high temperature at the designated station, regardless of whether extreme weather contributed to that reading.

Are there specific climate phenomena that might skew temperatures in 2026?

Broad climate cycles, such as the phase of ENSO or decadal Pacific oscillations, are often factored in by meteorologists when creating long-range temperature outlooks for the Pacific Northwest.

How far in advance is the final outcome determined for this market?

The official temperature is verified shortly after the conclusion of the calendar day on April 19, 2026, based on the finalized data from the National Weather Service.

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