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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Apr 7, 2026?

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
61° or below 0%
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62° to 63° 0%
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64° to 65° 0%
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66° to 67° 0%
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68° to 69° 0%
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70° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport (SFO) weather station on April 7, 2026. These data points are critical for meteorologists and climate researchers analyzing regional weather patterns.

San Francisco's climate in April is heavily influenced by the California Current and the Pacific Ocean's cooling effect. Because the city experiences distinct microclimates, the official SFO reading often differs significantly from temperatures found in the inland neighborhoods or the North Bay. Historical data shows that April is a transitional month, typically characterized by moderate temperatures but occasionally punctuated by spring heat events or lingering cool maritime air.

The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather models and historical climate trends for this specific spring date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which weather station is used to determine the official temperature for this market?

The official daily high is measured at the San Francisco International Airport (SFO) station, as reported by the National Weather Service.

How does the marine layer affect the outcome for April 7th?

The marine layer often acts as a thermal buffer; its presence usually keeps daytime highs significantly lower than those found in inland parts of the Bay Area.

What happens if there is an extreme weather event on that date?

The market will settle based strictly on the official high temperature recorded by the NWS at SFO, regardless of whether that temperature is considered a record-breaking event.

Why is SFO chosen for this measurement instead of downtown San Francisco?

SFO is the standard reporting site for official National Weather Service climate records in the San Francisco region due to its consistent data history.

Does this market account for wind chill or heat index?

No, this market tracks the actual air temperature (dry-bulb temperature) recorded at the station, not perceived temperature metrics.

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