| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° to 92° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 93° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature will be the highest recorded in San Antonio on March 24, 2026, letting traders express expectations about a single-day weather outcome. It matters to participants who use short-term weather forecasts for risk management, planning, or trading.
San Antonio sits in a transitional climate zone where late March can produce a wide range of temperatures depending on synoptic-scale patterns; seasonal variability and occasional extremes make single-day highs especially sensitive to passing fronts or ridges. Historical climatology and recent forecast model runs provide context, but day-to-day weather depends on evolving atmospheric conditions in the days leading up to Mar 24, 2026.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of participants about which temperature outcome will be realized and update as new information (forecasts, observations) arrives. Treat odds as a real-time summary of market belief, not a fixed prediction.
The market will settle to the highest temperature reported by the official observational source specified in the contract; consult the event's contract page for the exact observing station, time zone (local date definition), and rounding or reporting rules used for settlement.
Resolution occurs after the official observations for Mar 24, 2026 are published by the source named in the contract; payout timing follows the platform's settlement procedures, so check the event page and platform rules for the expected settlement window and any dispute period.
The contract specifies the official station used for settlement — commonly an NWS Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) or a National Weather Service/COOP station for San Antonio — so verify the station identifier and location on the event page before trading.
Watch model forecasts for frontal passages, the evolution of upper-level ridges or troughs, cloud-cover trends, precipitation chances, and surface wind shifts in the 48–72 hours before Mar 24, 2026, since those factors typically have the largest impact on the day’s maximum temperature.
Some official observing networks occasionally revise historical data; whether such revisions affect settlement depends on the platform's contract language — check whether the market uses preliminary, final, or corrected datasets and whether there is a provision for post-publication revisions or disputes.