| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 84° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° to 92° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 93° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature range will be the highest recorded in San Antonio on March 23, 2026. Outcomes matter for local planning, short-term energy demand, and seasonal weather analysis.
San Antonio in late March sits in a transitional season: days can swing from cool to warm depending on frontal passages, Gulf moisture, and upper‑level patterns. Historical March values show substantial day‑to‑day variability, so single‑day outcomes depend heavily on synoptic timing rather than long‑term averages.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as forecasts and observations change; they indicate relative confidence among outcomes but are not guarantees. Use market prices alongside official forecast products and station observations when making decisions.
Settlement will use the official highest air temperature reported for the San Antonio observing location specified in the market’s settlement rules; consult the event page for the exact station and data source (typically the designated NWS/NOAA station).
The market uses the local calendar day defined in the settlement rules (midnight to 11:59 PM local time, including any applicable daylight saving time) for March 23, 2026 at the specified observing station.
Tie‑breaking and exact bin membership are handled according to the market’s published settlement criteria; check the event rules for how equal or boundary values are allocated between outcomes.
The event page lists the trading cutoff (currently TBD); markets commonly close at or before the day of the observation to prevent trading on settled data—check the event for the definitive cutoff time.
Monitor local NWS forecasts and hourly observations for San Antonio, METAR/AWOS reports from the designated station, short‑range high‑resolution model runs (e.g., HRRR), radar and satellite trends, and synoptic forecasts for frontal timing and upper‑level patterns.