| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96° to 97° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 94° to 95° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 92° to 93° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 98° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90° to 91° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature outcome will be the highest recorded in San Antonio on March 22, 2026. It matters for traders and weather observers because it aggregates real‑time expectations about a specific daily temperature outcome.
Late March in San Antonio is a transitional time between cool winter patterns and warming spring conditions, so day‑to‑day highs can swing with passing fronts or strengthening ridges. Long‑term warming trends increase the chance of warmer records, while short‑term synoptic setup (cold fronts, Gulf moisture, cloud cover) and local station factors determine the observed maximum on any given day.
Market odds reflect the collective expectation of participants given current forecasts and information; they update as new model runs, observations, and news arrive. Use them as a real‑time indicator of consensus, but consult the contract terms for exact settlement rules.
The listed close time is TBD; the market will stop accepting trades at its specified close and resolve according to the contract's stated settlement timeline. Check the market page on the exchange for the final close and resolution schedule.
Settlement uses the observation source specified in the contract text (commonly an NWS/NOAA or designated official station). Review the market's settlement/source clause on the exchange to see the exact station and observation product that will be used.
The contract defines the geographic and instrument basis; most markets use a single specified station (e.g., an official airport or NWS station). Confirm the market's definition of 'San Antonio' in the contract details before trading.
Tie‑handling and rounding rules are part of the contract terms. The exchange will apply the specified tie resolution procedure and rounding conventions when finalizing the outcome.
Short‑term forecast model runs, NWS forecast updates, the timing/intensity of any approaching fronts, visible satellite and radar trends, and official hourly observations from the designated station can all shift market assessments in the days and hours leading up to the observation date.