| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92° to 93° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 96° to 97° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 98° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90° to 91° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 94° to 95° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to forecast the highest air temperature recorded in San Antonio on Mar 21, 2026. It matters because day-specific temperature forecasts aggregate meteorological expectations and can inform weather-sensitive planning for that date.
San Antonio sits in a transitional spring climate where late-March temperatures can swing between cool, frontal conditions and early-season warmth. Synoptic weather patterns (frontal passages, upper-level ridging, and Gulf moisture) produce a lot of day-to-day variability, and recent decades of warming have shifted the baseline for seasonal highs upward.
Market prices reflect the collective view of which temperature outcome is most likely, updating as new model runs and observations arrive; they are indicators of consensus, not guarantees of what will occur.
The market settles to the highest official air temperature reported for San Antonio on Mar 21, 2026 by the weather observation source specified in the event contract; check the event rules for the designated station and dataset.
Resolution occurs after the official observation for Mar 21, 2026 is available from the designated reporting source; settlement timing follows the platform's stated resolution procedure, so consult the event's rules or updates for expected post-event timing.
Outcomes are mutually exclusive temperature categories defined in the event contract; once the official highest temperature is published, the single category that contains that value wins and the market settles to that outcome.
Final values typically come from an official observing network such as the National Weather Service/NOAA reporting station that serves San Antonio; the event contract specifies the exact station and dataset to be used for settlement.
Settlement can be delayed or disputed if the designated station has instrument failure, data outages, a documented relocation or metadata change, or if the official dataset is revised; the event's rules describe fallback procedures and dispute resolution.