| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market trades on the highest air temperature recorded in San Antonio on March 19, 2026; it matters for participants hedging weather risk and for anyone tracking short-term climate variability in the region.
San Antonio's early-spring temperatures can swing widely due to shifting Gulf moisture, frontal passages, and transient highs and lows; historical records and seasonal trends provide context but do not determine a single outcome. Short- to medium-range weather model forecasts and National Weather Service communications will shape market attention in the days leading up to March 19.
Market prices reflect traders' collective expectations about which temperature outcome will occur; participants should interpret prices as real-time sentiment, not fixed probabilities, and monitor official observations and forecasts for updates.
The event's specific rules define the official observing station or dataset; commonly markets reference the National Weather Service (NOAA/NWS) official station for San Antonio—check this event's rules page to see the named source and station identifier.
The event uses the calendar date defined in its rules, typically local date from 00:00 to 23:59 local time; review the market's rule text to confirm the time zone and any UTC conversion used for cutoff times.
Outcome definitions (e.g., integer-degree bins, ranges, or thresholds) are specified in the market listing; consult the market's outcome descriptions to know how an observed temperature maps to a particular outcome.
Tie-breaking procedures, backup stations, or reference datasets are described in the event rules; if not specified, the market operator or the cited data provider's standard verification procedures typically apply.
Monitor guidance from operational models (e.g., global models and high-resolution mesoscale models), ensemble forecasts, National Weather Service forecasts and discussions for San Antonio, surface observations and airport METARs, and short-term radar/satellite trends to track temperature drivers and rapid changes.