| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87° to 88° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 91° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 89° to 90° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 82° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° to 86° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in San Antonio will be on March 14, 2026, and is useful for traders and local stakeholders who want to hedge or speculate on near-term temperature outcomes.
San Antonio sits in a region with substantial day-to-day temperature variability in March driven by passing fronts, Gulf moisture, and solar heating. Seasonal climatology and recent weather patterns provide context but short-term synoptic setup will determine the actual maximum on a given date.
Market prices aggregate participants' expectations about which temperature range will be observed; they update as new model forecasts and observations arrive and should be read as the market consensus at a moment in time.
The platform sets the market close time (often before the calendar day to prevent trading on observed readings); settlement typically occurs after the official daily maximum is published by the designated observation source—check the market page for the exact close and settlement schedule.
Settlement uses the specific observation source listed in the market rules (commonly an official NWS/ASOS or cooperative station for San Antonio); consult the market's settlement details to see the exact station and dataset.
'Highest temperature' generally refers to the maximum air temperature recorded during the local calendar day at the designated official station, after routine quality control; the market's rules will contain the precise definition and any exclusions.
Use climatological normals, station-specific historical records for March 14, and recent year-to-year variability to gauge how unusual outcomes would be, while giving weight to short-range model forecasts and synoptic analyses as the event approaches.
Platforms follow predefined contingency rules: they may use an alternate official station, postpone settlement until revisions are finalized, or void the market if no reliable data exist—review the market's contingency and dispute procedures for the exact protocol.