| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° to 74° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of six discrete outcome bins will contain the highest air temperature recorded in San Antonio on March 12, 2026; it matters because daily extremes reflect short‑term weather and seasonal climate variability and are of interest to energy, agriculture, and outdoor planning.
San Antonio in mid‑March typically sits in a variable transition season where either warm southerly flow or passing cold fronts can dominate; climatology and recent springtime patterns provide context but day‑to‑day synoptic details determine the actual maximum. This market uses a fixed set of outcomes (six options) and will settle to an official observing source named by the platform.
Market odds reflect collective judgment about which outcome bin will contain the official daily high; interpret prices as real‑time sentiment and information aggregation rather than fixed forecasts, and check the event page for the designated reporting station and settlement rules.
Settlement will be based on the official reporting station specified by the event on the platform (typically the National Weather Service observing station used for San Antonio); check the event page for the exact station name and data source before trading.
It is the maximum air temperature recorded for the local calendar day covering 00:00–23:59 local time at the designated reporting station, reported in degrees Fahrenheit as used by the observing network; consult the event rules for any specific rounding or reporting conventions the market applies.
The event page lists the market close; at present the close is shown as TBD—confirm the posted close time on the platform before placing orders, as closure is set by the exchange and may occur before the observation day.
Settlement typically occurs after the designated authority posts its official daily summary; the platform’s rules will describe the verification window and dispute process if the primary data source is corrected or challenged—refer to the market’s settlement policy for exact timelines.
Useful context includes climatological March 12 highs for San Antonio, recent multi‑day model forecasts and satellite/radar trends leading up to the date, and records of similar synoptic setups (e.g., past warm spells or frontal intrusions) that produced comparable daily maxima.