| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily high temperature in San Antonio, Texas, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a localized instrument for forecasting meteorological conditions on a specific spring date.
April in San Antonio typically marks a transition period characterized by warming trends as the region moves toward summer. Historical climate data for this area reflects significant variability during early April, influenced by shifting cold fronts and the proximity of the Gulf of Mexico. These historical averages provide the baseline for determining potential thermal ranges for this specific calendar day.
Participants should interpret these odds as the collective market sentiment regarding the likelihood of specific temperature bands based on historical climate patterns and meteorological trends.
The market relies on official data reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) or an equivalent accredited meteorological station designated for San Antonio.
Historically, early April in San Antonio sees a wide range of temperatures, with typical daily highs transitioning from the low 70s to the low 80s Fahrenheit.
Yes, the range of outcomes is designed to capture the statistical spread, including the impact of anomalous weather events that could push temperatures outside of typical norms.
Yes, the result is based on the single highest temperature recorded officially at the specified San Antonio weather station throughout the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026.
In the event of official station failure or data inconsistency, standard prediction market protocol dictates the use of the most reliable secondary meteorological data provided by official national bodies.