| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° to 89° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90° to 91° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 92° to 93° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 94° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in San Antonio, Texas, on April 3, 2026. These data points are essential for understanding localized climate trends and seasonal transition variability in South Texas.
April in San Antonio marks a period of significant atmospheric transition as the region moves from late winter into the heat of spring. Historically, temperatures during early April are heavily influenced by the interplay between cold fronts moving down from the Great Plains and the onset of humid, maritime air from the Gulf of Mexico. This volatility makes precise daily forecasting challenging due to the region's semi-arid to humid subtropical climate overlap.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of weather outcomes, where higher contract prices signal a stronger consensus for specific temperature ranges based on meteorological modeling and historical climatology.
The official data is derived from the National Weather Service (NWS) monitoring station at San Antonio International Airport (SAT).
In the event of station failure, the market typically reverts to the official data published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the National Weather Service.
Spring in South Texas is marked by 'swing' weather, where a cold front can drop temperatures significantly one day, followed by rapid warming as southerly winds return.
No, this market tracks the ambient air temperature recorded by standard meteorological thermometers, not the heat index or 'feels like' temperature.
The maximum temperature is measured over the 24-hour calendar day of April 3, 2026, consistent with standard NWS reporting protocols.