| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 93° to 94° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 95° to 96° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 97° to 98° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 99° to 100° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 101° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport on March 30, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge against climate variability and provides a clear metric for monitoring springtime weather patterns in the Sonoran Desert.
Phoenix weather in late March is characterized by a transition from mild spring conditions to the onset of early desert heat. Historical data from the National Weather Service indicates that while late-month temperatures are typically comfortable, extreme heat spikes can occasionally occur due to regional high-pressure systems. Traders analyze long-range meteorological forecasts and historical temperature distributions to gauge potential outcomes.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of the most likely temperature range, reflecting the consensus of historical trends and current long-term atmospheric projections.
The official reading is the high temperature recorded at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, as reported by the National Weather Service.
It is the maximum temperature registered in the 24-hour period of the calendar date, March 30, 2026.
Yes, the market focuses specifically on the single daily peak, which is typically recorded during the mid-to-late afternoon.
Traders monitor long-range climate models and NOAA seasonal outlooks to identify shifts in expected temperature deviations from the historical norm.
Yes, Phoenix's location in a low-elevation desert basin significantly contributes to its potential for rapid daytime heating compared to higher-altitude regions.