| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 86° to 87° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 88° to 89° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 90° to 91° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 92° to 93° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 94° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Phoenix, Arizona, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge or speculative instrument for those interested in regional climate patterns and meteorological trends.
Phoenix is characterized by its arid desert climate, which typically experiences rapid warming during the spring months. April represents a transition period where daily highs can fluctuate significantly depending on the presence of high-pressure ridges or cooling systems moving through the Southwest. Historical data from Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport serves as the official benchmark for these readings.
The market participants' collective outlook reflects expectations for atmospheric conditions, with prices indicating the perceived likelihood of the temperature falling within specific ranges.
The market settles based on the official high temperature recorded at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, as reported by the National Weather Service.
The settlement relies strictly on the official National Weather Service readout, regardless of whether the temperature is considered anomalous or record-breaking.
Yes, because the official reporting station is located within the metropolitan area, the recorded temperature inherently reflects the ambient conditions influenced by the urban environment.
Early April in Phoenix is often volatile, as the region shifts away from winter influences and experiences increasing solar radiation, though it remains cooler than the extreme heat of mid-summer.
The daily high is calculated based on the standard 24-hour cycle observed by the reporting station in Mountain Standard Time.