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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Mar 30, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
64° or below 0%
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65° to 66° 0%
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67° to 68° 0%
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69° to 70° 0%
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71° to 72° 0%
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73° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on March 30, 2026. These data points are critical for climate monitoring, regional agricultural planning, and local energy consumption forecasting.

Philadelphia experiences significant seasonal variability in late March as the region transitions from winter to spring. Historical climate data for this date typically falls within a moderate range, though extreme weather patterns or polar vortex disruptions can lead to significant deviations. The official verification relies on data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) as recorded at Philadelphia International Airport.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of weather outcomes, with higher volume reflecting increased consensus or activity regarding meteorological trends.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What official data source will determine the winner of this market?

The official daily maximum temperature reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) for Philadelphia International Airport (PHL) on March 30, 2026.

Does the market consider the 'feels-like' temperature or wind chill?

No, the market is strictly based on the official daily maximum ambient air temperature recorded by the weather station.

What happens if the recording equipment at the airport malfunctions?

In the event of an official data gap or equipment failure, the market will rely on the closest available official record or designated backup weather reporting station as determined by the NWS.

Does the outcome depend on an average temperature for the day?

No, this market specifically targets the single highest temperature reached at any point during the 24-hour period of March 30, 2026.

How do climate patterns like El Niño or La Niña affect this specific date?

Large-scale climate oscillations can influence regional temperature trends, potentially shifting the likelihood of warmer or cooler than average spring temperatures in the Northeast.

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