| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° to 62° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on April 2, 2026. It provides a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related uncertainty or speculating on local climate patterns.
Philadelphia's spring weather is notoriously variable, transitioning from late-winter cold snaps to early-spring warmth. Historical data from the National Weather Service indicates that early April temperatures can fluctuate significantly based on jet stream positioning and Atlantic coastal influence. Participants must consider long-range climate trends and historical averages for the Philadelphia International Airport weather station.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the daily high temperature will fall within predefined ranges. Higher prices on specific ranges reflect greater market confidence that the final official reading will land within those bounds.
This market relies on the official daily high temperature data recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS) at the Philadelphia International Airport station.
The market is settled based on the official temperature reading released by the NWS, regardless of how extreme or anomalous the weather conditions may be.
Yes, the high temperature is defined as the maximum temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of the calendar day on April 2, 2026.
Yes, the market is divided into six distinct temperature bins; traders must bet on which range the final high temperature will fall into.
The Philadelphia International Airport weather station is the standardized source, but urban heat island effects may influence local microclimates throughout the city compared to the airport’s specific sensor location.