| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° to 63° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily maximum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 19, 2026. It provides a localized benchmark for climate volatility and mid-spring weather patterns in the Mid-Atlantic region.
April in Philadelphia is a transitional month, typically characterized by variable weather as the region moves from late winter patterns to true spring. Historical data shows significant fluctuations in daily highs due to shifting air masses and the influence of the Atlantic coast. Predicting exact temperatures years in advance remains a complex challenge for both professional meteorologists and market participants.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how weather models and historical climate trends will manifest on this specific spring day. Traders evaluate emerging long-term forecasts to determine the most likely temperature range.
This market typically relies on the official temperature readings recorded at Philadelphia International Airport by the National Weather Service.
The resolution is generally based on the official, verified daily high temperature published by the designated meteorological authority, regardless of external conditions.
This market specifically looks for the peak reading reached at any point during the 24-hour period of April 19, rather than an average or median reading for the day.
April 19 has seen a wide range of temperatures in Philadelphia's history, spanning from near-freezing conditions to unseasonably warm summer-like weather.
No, the market tracks the actual ambient air temperature measured by a standard thermometer, excluding any 'feels-like' or humidity-adjusted calculations.