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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Mar 30, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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$0
Open Interest
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Active Markets
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Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
83° or below 0%
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84° to 85° 0%
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86° to 87° 0%
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88° to 89° 0%
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90° to 91° 0%
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92° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on March 30, 2026. Monitoring regional climate data helps quantify seasonal weather volatility and impacts on local energy demand and agriculture.

Oklahoma City sits in a transition zone between the humid subtropical climate of the east and the semi-arid climate of the west. Late March is a period of significant atmospheric instability in the Great Plains, often characterized by rapid temperature swings as cold fronts clash with warming air masses. Historical records show high temperatures for this date can range from cool, spring-like conditions to early-season heat spikes.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather models and historical climate averages, providing a snapshot of how traders weigh the likelihood of extreme or moderate temperature outcomes.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which data source determines the official high temperature for this market?

The market relies on the official daily maximum temperature reading as reported by the National Weather Service for Oklahoma City.

What happens if there is an equipment failure at the recording station?

In the event of station data unavailability, the market generally defaults to the closest verified official climate reporting station or alternative reliable meteorological records.

Does the market account for wind chill or heat index?

No, the market strictly tracks the air temperature reported as the 'daily maximum,' not 'feels-like' metrics.

Is the temperature measured at the Oklahoma City airport?

Yes, official climate data for Oklahoma City is typically sourced from the station located at Will Rogers World Airport.

How does the spring transition affect this specific date?

March 30 falls during a time when the region is highly sensitive to meridional flow, meaning shifts in wind direction can lead to temperature changes of 20 to 30 degrees within 24 hours.

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