| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80° to 81° | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| 75° or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| 82° to 83° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| 84° or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature bracket will be the highest observed in Oklahoma City on March 3, 2026; it matters for traders, weather-sensitive operators, and anyone tracking short-term climate variability in the region.
Oklahoma City sits in a highly dynamic weather zone where late-winter to early-spring transitions can produce rapid swings between warm and cool conditions. Historical early-March observations show a wide range of possible highs driven by frontal passages, southerly warm advection, or lingering cool air masses; local records and recent seasonal patterns shape expectations for this date.
Market prices reflect the crowd-sourced, continuously updating assessment of which temperature outcome is most likely given current forecasts and observed conditions; treat prices as a real-time signal that incorporates evolving meteorological information rather than a fixed forecast.
The highest temperature is the maximum air temperature recorded at the market's specified official observing site for Oklahoma City during the local calendar day of March 3, 2026; check the market page for the exact station and observation window used for settlement.
Settlement will use the official meteorological observation identified by the market (commonly the National Weather Service/NOAA observing site serving Oklahoma City); the market rules list the exact data source and will govern how the final value is chosen.
The market's six outcomes correspond to mutually exclusive temperature ranges (brackets) that together cover the plausible span of highest temperatures for that day; outcome labels and ranges are shown on the market page prior to trading.
Trading close time is announced by the platform (listed as TBD until set); settlement occurs after the official observing station publishes the daily maximum and according to the market's settlement rules and timeline.
Potential issues include instrument malfunctions, post-event quality-control edits by the data provider, missing or interrupted observations, or station metadata changes; the market's dispute and resolution procedures describe how such cases are handled.