| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature range will be the highest observed in Oklahoma City on March 28, 2026. Outcomes matter for weather-sensitive decisions such as energy operations, event planning, and short-term risk management.
Late March in central Oklahoma is a transitional period when large swings are common: warm Pacific or Gulf air masses can produce unseasonable warmth, while strong mid-latitude troughs can bring late-season cold. Local highs on a single spring day are driven by synoptic-scale pattern, timing of fronts or storms, cloud cover, and surface conditions; official resolution typically relies on the designated weather station's recorded maximum.
Market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about which temperature bin will contain the daily high and will move as forecasts and observations update. Always consult the event's official resolution rules to confirm which station, observation network, and local time window will be used to determine the winning outcome.
Resolution is typically based on the official National Weather Service station designated for Oklahoma City (the Will Rogers World Airport site) and its official daily maximum air temperature; check the market's resolution rules to confirm the exact station identifier and dataset used.
Most weather markets use the local calendar day (00:00 to 23:59 local standard or daylight time at the official station), but the precise start/end and time convention are specified in the event's resolution policy, so verify that text before trading.
The six outcomes are mutually exclusive temperature bins that together cover a range of possible daily highs for Oklahoma City on that date; the event page lists the exact numeric boundaries for each bin, which determine which outcome wins once the official maximum is known.
If a front or showers arrive before the afternoon peak they tend to reduce solar heating and limit the daily maximum; if they arrive after the afternoon peak their impact on the recorded high is smaller. The timing, coverage, and intensity of convection matter more than simply the presence of a front.
Consult high-resolution short-range models (e.g., HRRR, hourly convective guidance), mesoscale ensembles and deterministic medium-range models (ECMWF, GFS, NAM), surface obs, satellite, radar, and NWS forecast discussions; focus on frontal timing, cloud cover trends, dewpoint/low-level moisture, and ensemble spread for confidence.