| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° to 75° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° to 77° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 78° to 79° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 80° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the highest air temperature recorded in Oklahoma City will be on March 27, 2026. It matters to traders and weather‑sensitive participants who want to hedge or express views on short‑term temperature outcomes for that specific date and location.
Late March in Oklahoma City is a highly variable time of year as winter-to-spring transitions allow both warm air incursions and cold frontal passages. Day‑to‑day outcomes depend on the exact timing of synoptic features, cloud cover, and precipitation; longer-term climate trends have shifted seasonal baselines but do not eliminate short-term variability.
Market prices represent the collective view of traders about which discrete temperature outcome will be the highest on that local calendar day; they should be read as market‑implied expectations informed by forecasts, observations, and traders' risk preferences, not as official meteorological forecasts.
The market's listed close time is set by the platform (currently shown as TBD); the outcome will be determined after the official highest temperature for the local calendar day Mar 27, 2026 is available and any platform adjudication or verification processes are complete.
Highest temperature refers to the maximum air temperature recorded during the local 24‑hour period for Mar 27, 2026 at the official station specified by the contract; that value is the daily maximum as recorded by standard meteorological instrumentation (e.g., ASOS/automated sensors) and reported by the relevant weather authority.
The market will settle to the official data source named in the contract or platform rules—typically the National Weather Service/NOAA observation for the official Oklahoma City climate station; consult the market page or contract text for the exact reference station and dataset used for settlement.
The exchange's settlement rules govern missing or suspect data: common remedies include using quality‑controlled alternate station data, verified post‑event corrections from the primary data provider, or a formal adjudication process. Check the platform's dispute and fallback procedures for specifics.
Traders should consider that late March is a transitional month prone to strong variability—either warm spells or late cold fronts are possible, and springtime storm systems can influence cloudiness and temperatures. Recent seasonality and model trends provide useful context but day‑to‑day synoptic timing is often the dominant driver.