| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79° to 80° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 81° to 82° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 85° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 77° to 78° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 83° to 84° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 76° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks participants to predict the maximum air temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on March 18, 2026. Outcomes matter for weather-sensitive planning and reflect short-term atmospheric conditions on that calendar day.
Oklahoma City sits in a dynamic spring transition zone where late-winter and early-spring temperature swings are common, so single-day highs can vary widely depending on synoptic conditions. Official daily maxima are produced by National Weather Service/NOAA observing stations and the market uses those official observations as the basis for settlement. The same date in different years can show very different results due to changing storm tracks and air-mass intrusions.
Market prices aggregate trader views about which temperature outcome will be observed; treat them as a real-time consensus signal rather than a fixed forecast. Always check the contract terms to confirm the exact observing station, time zone, and settlement procedures used by this market.
It refers to the maximum official air temperature recorded by the observing station specified in the contract during the local calendar day of March 18, 2026 (midnight to midnight local time). The market settles to the outcome that contains that official published value.
Settlement will rely on the official observing station or data feed named in the contract—typically National Weather Service/NOAA observations for the Oklahoma City area (commonly the official airport station). The market page or contract terms list the exact station or dataset used.
The platform sets the trading cutoff time for this market; consult the market page for the current close time. Outcome determination occurs after the designated observing source publishes the validated daily summary and the platform follows its posted settlement timeline.
Mid-March is a transitional month with high variability, so climatology offers only a broad baseline. Emphasize current numerical model guidance, frontal timing, cloud cover, and recent temperature trends when evaluating expectations for this specific day.
The contract specifies fallback and dispute-resolution procedures: platforms typically use an alternate official source or validated post-event NWS/NOAA records if the primary station is unavailable or suspect. Consult the market's published rules for the exact resolution process.