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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Apr 7, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
67° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
68° to 69° 0%
$0 Trade →
70° to 71° 0%
$0 Trade →
72° to 73° 0%
$0 Trade →
74° to 75° 0%
$0 Trade →
76° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official daily high temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on April 7, 2026. It allows participants to hedge against or speculate on meteorological outcomes in the U.S. Southern Plains.

Oklahoma City experiences highly variable spring weather characterized by transition periods between cold fronts and warm, moist air masses from the Gulf of Mexico. Historical data for early April in this region shows a wide range of outcomes, as the area is prone to rapid temperature shifts driven by cyclonic activity. Monitoring these seasonal climate patterns provides insight into the potential extremes that occur during the spring transition.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of historical norms and current long-range meteorological forecasts, with higher prices indicating where traders expect the peak temperature to land.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which official source defines the 'highest temperature' for this market?

The official high is typically determined by the National Weather Service (NWS) station at Will Rogers World Airport, the primary reporting station for Oklahoma City.

How does the timing of spring in Oklahoma affect the range of outcomes?

Early April in Oklahoma is a volatile period where the region can see record highs or lingering cold snaps depending on the strength of the polar jet stream.

Can extreme weather events like thunderstorms impact the daily high?

Yes, significant cloud cover or precipitation from passing storm systems can drastically limit daytime heating, resulting in a lower maximum temperature.

What happens if there is an equipment failure at the weather station?

Markets generally rely on the official, finalized data released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the NWS.

Does the outcome reflect the average temperature or the peak temperature?

The outcome is based strictly on the highest temperature reached at any point during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026.

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