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Climate and Weather OPEN

Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Apr 3, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
77° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
78° to 79° 0%
$0 Trade →
80° to 81° 0%
$0 Trade →
82° to 83° 0%
$0 Trade →
84° to 85° 0%
$0 Trade →
86° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market predicts the maximum daily temperature recorded in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, on April 3, 2026. These data points are essential for traders hedging against agricultural risks and localized energy demand fluctuations.

Oklahoma City features a humid subtropical climate, characterized by significant seasonal variability and the influence of cold fronts from the north meeting warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. April is a transitional spring month where daily high temperatures can fluctuate dramatically based on prevailing wind patterns and incoming frontal systems. Historical data for early April in this region shows a wide range of possible highs, reflecting the unpredictable nature of Midwestern spring weather.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of the maximum temperature range for this specific date, reflecting current meteorological forecasts and historical seasonal averages.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which meteorological agency serves as the source of truth for this event?

The official data is typically derived from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the National Weather Service (NWS) recordings for Will Rogers World Airport.

Does a record-breaking heatwave or cold snap impact the final outcome?

Yes, extreme deviations from the mean, such as unseasonal heat or an unexpected late-season frost, would shift the realized temperature into the higher or lower ranges respectively.

How is the 'highest temperature' defined for this market?

The highest temperature is defined as the maximum value recorded by the official reporting station within the 24-hour calendar day of April 3, 2026.

What happens if the primary weather station is offline on that date?

In the event of station failure, data is usually sourced from secondary official government reporting stations in the immediate vicinity to ensure accurate verification.

How much do daily temperatures typically fluctuate in Oklahoma City during early April?

April temperatures in Oklahoma City are highly volatile, often spanning a range of 20-30 degrees Fahrenheit between different years depending on the timing of spring storm systems.

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