| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° to 66° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 67° to 68° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 69° to 70° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 71° to 72° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 73° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which temperature range will be the highest observed in New York City on March 26, 2026; it matters for traders who want to express views about short‑term weather extremes and for anyone tracking late‑March climate variability in NYC. Outcomes reflect the daily maximum temperature observed within the event's defined measurement window and data source.
Late March in New York City is a transitional period: temperatures can swing from near–winter conditions to early spring warmth depending on large‑scale patterns. Official daily maximums used for settlement typically come from an authoritative meteorological observing network; historical variability is driven by synoptic setup, sea‑level pressure patterns, and local urban effects. Market settlement and the precise definition of the observation (location, station, time window) are set by the exchange rules for this specific market.
Prediction market odds summarize collective expectations about which outcome will be realized but do not replace official weather observations; interpret odds as the market's aggregate view given current information. Because probabilities change in real time with new forecasts and trades, check the live market for up‑to‑date pricing and consult the event's rules for settlement specifics.
Settlement will follow the data source and observing-station rules specified on this market's rules page; exchanges commonly designate an official NWS/NOAA station or specific network—confirm the market's settlement clause for the named station and dataset.
The market will use the calendar day and time window defined in the event rules (typically the local 24‑hour period for New York City); check the market's settlement rules for the exact start and end times and time zone.
The market follows the exchange's stated policy on revisions: generally settlement uses the official final dataset as made available by the named provider, and there may be a short waiting period to allow routine corrections—see the event rules for any embargo or correction window.
Rapid warm air advection ahead of a southern system, strong sunshine with light winds, or a pronounced southerly flow drawing warm continental air into the region are the primary scenarios that yield anomalously warm daytime maxima.
The close time is listed as TBD; typically markets close before the event's measurement window begins or at a specified advance time—outcome publication follows data confirmation by the named observing authority and the exchange's settlement procedures, so monitor the market page for official timestamps.